The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.36.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Moscow | 0 | 1.22 | −1.2 | 1.63 |
| Akron Tolyatti | 0 | 0.86 | −0.9 | 1.08 |
Lokomotiv Moscow: −0.9 for the season (14 in the table). Akron Tolyatti: −1.7 (13). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.