Krylia Sovetov — Dynamo Makhachkala 1:4

Krylia Sovetov

1:4

Dynamo Makhachkala

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Dynamo Makhachkala was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Krylia Sovetov	1	1.33	−0.3	0.93
Dynamo Makhachkala	4	2.09	+1.9	1.86

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
4'	Andrés Alarcón	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.67
21'	Nikita Glushkov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.17
26'	Ivan Oleynikov	Krylia Sovetov	0.36
76'	Daniil Lesovoy	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.44
92'	Gamid Agalarov	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.11	Nikita Glushkov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
4'	Andrés Alarcón	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.67	goal, header, from a corner
76'	Daniil Lesovoy	Dynamo Makhachkala	0.44	goal, header
26'	Ivan Oleynikov	Krylia Sovetov	0.36	goal

Shots: Krylia Sovetov 20, Dynamo Makhachkala 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.76, Dynamo Makhachkala 1.19: a small edge for Dynamo Makhachkala. In the second half xG was Krylia Sovetov 0.58, Dynamo Makhachkala 1.00: a small edge for Dynamo Makhachkala. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Dynamo Makhachkala scored 4 from 2.09 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Krylia Sovetov: −4.0 for the season (7 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.6 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Zenit — Dynamo Moscow 3:0Baltika Kaliningrad — Spartak Moscow 1:2

All RPL matches with xG →