The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Dynamo Makhachkala was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylia Sovetov | 1 | 1.33 | −0.3 | 0.93 |
| Dynamo Makhachkala | 4 | 2.09 | +1.9 | 1.86 |
Krylia Sovetov: −1.6 for the season (9 in the table). Dynamo Makhachkala: −2.0 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.