The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit | 3 | 1.22 | +1.8 | 1.95 |
| Dynamo Moscow | 0 | 0.49 | −0.5 | 0.75 |
Zenit: +2.9 for the season (5 in the table). Dynamo Moscow: +3.5 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.