Zenit — Dynamo Moscow 3:0

Zenit

3:0

Dynamo Moscow

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Zenit was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Zenit	3	1.22	+1.8	1.94
Dynamo Moscow	0	0.49	−0.5	0.75

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
28'	Alexander Sobolev (penalty)	Zenit	0.75
32'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.44	Maksim Glushenkov
86'	Maksim Glushenkov	Zenit	0.03

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
32'	Alexander Sobolev	Zenit	0.44	goal
16'	Iaroslav Gladyshev	Dynamo Moscow	0.14	off target, header
78'	Maksim Osipenko	Dynamo Moscow	0.12	saved

Shots: Zenit 3, Dynamo Moscow 11; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Zenit 1.19, Dynamo Moscow 0.30: a clear edge for Zenit. In the second half xG was Zenit 0.03, Dynamo Moscow 0.19: about even. Zenit scored 3 from 1.22 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Zenit: +5.4 for the season (1 in the table). Dynamo Moscow: +7.3 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Krylia Sovetov — Dynamo Makhachkala 1:4Baltika Kaliningrad — Spartak Moscow 1:2

All RPL matches with xG →