Rodina Moscow — Baltika Kaliningrad 0:3

Rodina Moscow

0:3

Baltika Kaliningrad

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Baltika Kaliningrad was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rodina Moscow	0	0.21	−0.2	0.10
Baltika Kaliningrad	3	3.11	−0.1	2.84

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
21'	Aymane Mourid	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.55
73'	Chinonso Offor	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.45	Maksim Petrov
84'	Maksim Petrov	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.03	Nikolay Titkov

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
18'	Vladislav Pospelov	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.69	off target, header, from a set piece
21'	Aymane Mourid	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.55	goal
73'	Chinonso Offor	Baltika Kaliningrad	0.45	goal

Shots: Rodina Moscow 5, Baltika Kaliningrad 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 4.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rodina Moscow 0.13, Baltika Kaliningrad 1.68: a big edge for Baltika Kaliningrad. In the second half xG was Rodina Moscow 0.08, Baltika Kaliningrad 1.43: a clear edge for Baltika Kaliningrad. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Rodina Moscow: −0.3 for the season (13 in the table). Baltika Kaliningrad: −6.1 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Spartak Moscow — Orenburg 1:1Rubin Kazan — Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1

All RPL matches with xG →