Spartak Moscow — Orenburg 1:1

Spartak Moscow

1:1

Orenburg

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Spartak Moscow created more (1.81 xG against 0.40) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Spartak Moscow	1	1.81	−0.8	2.37
Orenburg	1	0.40	+0.6	0.43

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
65'	Ruslan Kul	Orenburg	0.27	Gedeon Guzina
75'	Mirlind Daku (penalty)	Spartak Moscow	0.75

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
65'	Ruslan Kul	Orenburg	0.27	goal
57'	Manfred Ugalde	Spartak Moscow	0.13	blocked
2'	Manfred Ugalde	Spartak Moscow	0.12	saved, header

Shots: Spartak Moscow 18, Orenburg 4; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Spartak Moscow 0.37, Orenburg 0.02: a small edge for Spartak Moscow. In the second half xG was Spartak Moscow 1.43, Orenburg 0.38: a clear edge for Spartak Moscow. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.

How it fits the season

Spartak Moscow: +1.5 for the season (3 in the table). Orenburg: −3.3 (10). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Rodina Moscow — Baltika Kaliningrad 0:3Rubin Kazan — Dynamo Makhachkala 3:1

All RPL matches with xG →