Rubin Kazan — Fakel Voronezh 1:0

Rubin Kazan

1:0

Fakel Voronezh

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Rubin Kazan was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Rubin Kazan	1	0.73	+0.3	1.60
Fakel Voronezh	0	0.41	−0.4	0.98

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
37'	Eddie Salcedo	Rubin Kazan	0.12

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
50'	Nikita Lobov	Rubin Kazan	0.13	saved
33'	Eddie Salcedo	Rubin Kazan	0.12	off target, header
37'	Eddie Salcedo	Rubin Kazan	0.12	goal

Shots: Rubin Kazan 9, Fakel Voronezh 8; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Rubin Kazan 0.55, Fakel Voronezh 0.20: a small edge for Rubin Kazan. In the second half xG was Rubin Kazan 0.19, Fakel Voronezh 0.21: about even.

How it fits the season

Rubin Kazan: +2.1 for the season (8 in the table). Fakel Voronezh: −6.5 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Dynamo Moscow — Akhmat Grozny 2:0Rodina Moscow — Krasnodar 2:1

All RPL matches with xG →