Como — Parma 2:1

Como

2:1

Parma

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Como was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Como	2	3.77	−1.8	2.43
Parma	1	1.55	−0.6	0.46

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
22'	Jacobo Ramón	Como	0.87	Nico Paz
82'	Kaiki	Como	0.33	Máximo Perrone
91'	David Romero	Parma	0.31	Pontus Almqvist

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
22'	Jacobo Ramón	Como	0.87	goal, from a corner
66'	David Romero	Parma	0.53	hit the woodwork
82'	Tasos Douvikas	Como	0.52	saved

Shots: Como 28, Parma 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Como 1.46, Parma 0.48: a clear edge for Como. In the second half xG was Como 2.35, Parma 1.08: a clear edge for Como. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Como scored 2 from 3.77 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Como: +3.2 for the season (5 in the table). Parma: +0.8 (16). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Torino — Roma 0:2Inter — Udinese 5:3

All Serie A matches with xG →