Parma

Next match

Roma · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 6% · draw 11% · defeat 83%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 8 points from 7.2 xPTS (+0.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 20th in the league, but 16th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance fewer goals conceded than expected (−6.8 vs xGA), but finishing falls short (−0.8 vs xG) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 0.89 xG per match — 20th of 20 (league average 1.70): creates less in front of goal than anyone in the league. Scored 9 goals from 9.8 xG — finishing is on par. 19th of 20 for goals per match.

Defence. 2.16 xGA per match — 16th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 17 goals from 23.8 xGA — 28% fewer than expected. Part of these clean sheets rests on luck rather than defending.

Playing to its level. Points (8) are close to the quality of play (7.2 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.73 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.56. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 2.8 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Parma and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league