Inter — Udinese 5:3

Inter

5:3

Udinese

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Inter was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Inter	5	3.69	+1.3	2.52
Udinese	3	1.29	+1.7	0.37

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
8'	James Abankwah	Udinese	0.38	Unai Gómez
15'	Jurgen Ekkelenkamp	Udinese	0.50	Keinan Davis
25'	Carlos Augusto	Inter	0.01
34'	Nicolò Barella	Inter	0.05	Marcus Thuram
56'	Marcus Thuram	Inter	0.34	Andy Diouf
66'	Francesco Pio Esposito	Inter	0.47	Piotr Zielinski
78'	Ange-Yoan Bonny	Inter	0.58
90'	Idrissa Gueye	Udinese	0.34	Vakoun Bayo

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
13'	Marcus Thuram	Inter	0.63	saved
78'	Ange-Yoan Bonny	Inter	0.58	goal
15'	Jurgen Ekkelenkamp	Udinese	0.50	goal

Shots: Inter 27, Udinese 6; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 7 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Inter 1.47, Udinese 0.93: a small edge for Inter. In the second half xG was Inter 2.67, Udinese 0.38: a big edge for Inter. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Inter scored 5 from 3.69 xG: more than they created. Udinese scored 3 from 1.29 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Inter: +2.0 for the season (2 in the table). Udinese: −3.5 (20). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Torino — Roma 0:2Como — Parma 2:1

All Serie A matches with xG →