Fiorentina — Frosinone 0:3

Fiorentina

0:3

Frosinone

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Frosinone was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fiorentina	0	1.82	−1.8	1.32
Frosinone	3	1.95	+1.1	1.47

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
25'	Antonio Raimondo	Frosinone	0.60	Giorgi Kvernadze
37'	Gabriele Bracaglia	Frosinone	0.19	Giacomo Calo
67'	Antonio Raimondo	Frosinone	0.31	Gabriele Bracaglia

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
25'	Antonio Raimondo	Frosinone	0.60	goal
50'	Arthur Atta	Fiorentina	0.60	off target
24'	Seydou Fini	Frosinone	0.32	blocked

Shots: Fiorentina 25, Frosinone 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fiorentina 0.81, Frosinone 1.29: a small edge for Frosinone. In the second half xG was Fiorentina 1.01, Frosinone 0.65: a small edge for Fiorentina. The edge in chances passed from Frosinone to Fiorentina. Fiorentina scored 0 from 1.82 xG: fewer than they created. Frosinone scored 3 from 1.95 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Fiorentina: −5.4 for the season (15 in the table). Frosinone: +5.2 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Monza — Udinese 2:3Sassuolo — Torino 2:1Juventus — Parma 2:0

All Serie A matches with xG →