Fiorentina

Next match

Monza · away, 23 Nov 2026
Win 32% · draw 22% · defeat 47%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.

What the numbers say

Points. 9 points from 14.4 xPTS (−5.4). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 10th in the league, but 15th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−1.1 goals vs xG) and extra goals conceded (+4.5 vs xGA).

Attack. 1.64 xG per match — 10th of 20 (league average 1.70): an average attack for this league. Scored 17 goals from 18.1 xG — 6% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.87 xGA per match — 12th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): mid-table for chances allowed. Conceded 25 goals from 20.5 xGA — 22% more than expected. Opponents are finishing better than the quality of their chances allows.

Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.49 points per match: expected pace 1.3 points per match vs the current 0.8.

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.82 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.60. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 8.0 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Fiorentina and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league