Monza — Udinese 2:3

Monza

2:3

Udinese

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Monza created more (1.90 xG against 1.02) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Monza	2	1.90	+0.1	1.96
Udinese	3	1.02	+2.0	0.82

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
31'	Jakub Piotrowski	Udinese	0.10	Hassane Kamara
36'	Andrea Colpani	Monza	0.28	Ricardo Mangas
44'	Hassane Kamara	Udinese	0.01
47'	Jurgen Ekkelenkamp	Udinese	0.05
62'	Gustavo Varela	Monza	0.32	Ebenezer Akinsanmiro

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
26'	Patrick Cutrone	Monza	0.64	blocked
62'	Gustavo Varela	Monza	0.32	goal, header
36'	Andrea Colpani	Monza	0.28	goal

Shots: Monza 14, Udinese 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Monza 1.32, Udinese 0.42: a clear edge for Monza. In the second half xG was Monza 0.57, Udinese 0.61: about even. Udinese scored 3 from 1.02 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Monza: −6.2 for the season (18 in the table). Udinese: −3.5 (20). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Sassuolo — Torino 2:1Fiorentina — Frosinone 0:3Juventus — Parma 2:0

All Serie A matches with xG →