The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Fiorentina created more (1.36 xG against 0.77) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 1 | 1.36 | −0.4 | 1.80 |
| Torino | 2 | 0.77 | +1.2 | 0.92 |
Fiorentina: −2.3 for the season (17 in the table). Torino: −1.0 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.