Fiorentina — Torino 1:2

Fiorentina

1:2

Torino

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Fiorentina created more (1.36 xG against 0.77) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fiorentina	1	1.36	−0.4	1.80
Torino	2	0.77	+1.2	0.92

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
46'	Mateo Pellegrino	Fiorentina	0.05	Radu Dragusin
73'	Rolando Mandragora	Torino	0.02	Eray Cömert
81'	Che Adams	Torino	0.54	Rafik Belghali

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
81'	Che Adams	Torino	0.54	goal
1'	Franco Mastantuono	Fiorentina	0.32	saved
58'	Arthur Atta	Fiorentina	0.12	saved

Shots: Fiorentina 14, Torino 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fiorentina 0.70, Torino 0.13: a small edge for Fiorentina. In the second half xG was Fiorentina 0.74, Torino 0.64: about even. Torino scored 2 from 0.77 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Fiorentina: −5.4 for the season (15 in the table). Torino: −0.4 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Inter — Napoli 3:2Roma — Atalanta 2:1

All Serie A matches with xG →