Torino

Next match

Napoli · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 14% · draw 21% · defeat 65%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 14 points from 14.4 xPTS (−0.4). By quality of play (xPTS) the club sits exactly where it is in the table: 11th. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance more goals conceded than expected (+2.1 vs xGA), but finishing runs above expectation (+1.6 vs xG) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 1.22 xG per match — 17th of 20 (league average 1.70): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 15 goals from 13.4 xG — 12% more than expected. A small finishing bonus, still within the usual spread.

Defence. 1.35 xGA per match — 4th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows few chances near its own goal. Conceded 17 goals from 14.9 xGA — 14% more than expected. The gap is small and usually closes over a season.

Playing to its level. Points (14) are close to the quality of play (14.4 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 1.27 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.08. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.4 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Torino and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league