Lecce

Next match

Lazio · away, 21 Nov 2026
Win 12% · draw 15% · defeat 73%

Fixture difficulty

The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A tough run.

What the numbers say

Points. 10 points from 8.9 xPTS (+1.1). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 18th in the league, but 14th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance finishing falls short (−3.8 vs xG), but fewer goals conceded than expected (−3.3 vs xGA) — one cancels the other.

Attack. 1.44 xG per match — 14th of 20 (league average 1.70): the attack creates less than most rivals. Scored 12 goals from 15.8 xG — 24% fewer than expected. Finishing is clearly below par — the chances are the same, so the goals will probably follow.

Defence. 2.30 xGA per match — 18th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 22 goals from 25.3 xGA — 13% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.

Playing to its level. Points (10) are close to the quality of play (8.9 xPTS).

Round by round

The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.

Fixtures and forecast

Current pace is 0.91 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.83. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 4.2 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.

Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Lecce and it will write when results and performance diverge.

The season so far

Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.

Club players

Around them in the table

Full Serie A xPTS table →

Other clubs of the league