Lecce — Roma 0:4

Lecce

0:4

Roma

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Roma was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Lecce	0	1.20	−1.2	0.26
Roma	4	4.14	−0.1	2.66

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
3'	Donyell Malen	Roma	0.37
22'	Donyell Malen	Roma	0.65	Wesley
24'	Matìas Soulè Malvano	Roma	0.49
64'	Rodrigo Mora	Roma	0.65	Gianluca Mancini

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
60'	Kialonda Gaspar	Lecce	0.77	blocked, from a corner
22'	Donyell Malen	Roma	0.65	goal
64'	Rodrigo Mora	Roma	0.65	goal

Shots: Lecce 7, Roma 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 7.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Lecce 0.26, Roma 2.41: a big edge for Roma. In the second half xG was Lecce 0.95, Roma 1.80: a clear edge for Roma. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Lecce scored 0 from 1.20 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Lecce: +1.1 for the season (14 in the table). Roma: +3.4 (3). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Atalanta — Bologna 1:0

All Serie A matches with xG →