Parma — Cagliari 0:1

Parma

0:1

Cagliari

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Cagliari was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Parma	0	1.03	−1.0	1.19
Cagliari	1	1.26	−0.3	1.53

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
78'	Alessandro Romano	Cagliari	0.02	Ndary Adopo

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
6'	Niakhate Ndiaye	Parma	0.45	off target, header, from a corner
36'	Zé Pedro	Cagliari	0.34	off target, header, from a corner
45'	Alessandro Deiola	Cagliari	0.26	off target, header, from a set piece

Shots: Parma 12, Cagliari 14; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Parma 0.65, Cagliari 0.87: about even. In the second half xG was Parma 0.37, Cagliari 0.39: about even. Parma scored 0 from 1.03 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Parma: +0.8 for the season (16 in the table). Cagliari: +5.0 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Inter — Monza 4:1Udinese — Como 1:1Genoa — Napoli 0:2

All Serie A matches with xG →