Inter — Monza 4:1

Inter

4:1

Monza

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Inter was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Inter	4	1.54	+2.5	1.59
Monza	1	1.22	−0.2	1.16

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
5'	Hakan Calhanoglu	Inter	0.01	Andy Diouf
28'	Gustavo Varela	Monza	0.07	Mathis Mout
47'	Piotr Zielinski	Inter	0.33
54'	Francesco Pio Esposito	Inter	0.15	Andy Diouf
62'	Yann Bisseck	Inter	0.08	Francesco Pio Esposito

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
91'	Francesco Pio Esposito	Inter	0.45	off target, header
49'	Ricardo Mangas	Monza	0.42	saved
47'	Piotr Zielinski	Inter	0.33	goal, from a corner

Shots: Inter 13, Monza 7; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Inter 0.24, Monza 0.72: a small edge for Monza. In the second half xG was Inter 1.30, Monza 0.49: a clear edge for Inter. The edge in chances passed from Monza to Inter. Inter scored 4 from 1.54 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Inter: +2.0 for the season (2 in the table). Monza: −6.2 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Udinese — Como 1:1Parma — Cagliari 0:1Genoa — Napoli 0:2

All Serie A matches with xG →