Udinese — Como 1:1

Udinese

1:1

Como

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.27.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Udinese	1	2.12	−1.1	1.26
Como	1	2.39	−1.4	1.55

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
28'	Hassane Kamara	Udinese	0.52	Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
53'	Tasos Douvikas	Como	0.71

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
53'	Tasos Douvikas	Como	0.71	goal, from a corner
60'	Tasos Douvikas	Como	0.55	saved
28'	Hassane Kamara	Udinese	0.52	goal

Shots: Udinese 17, Como 20; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 3.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Udinese 0.70, Como 0.28: a small edge for Udinese. In the second half xG was Udinese 1.42, Como 2.15: a small edge for Como. The edge in chances passed from Udinese to Como. Udinese scored 1 from 2.12 xG: fewer than they created. Como scored 1 from 2.39 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Udinese: −3.5 for the season (20 in the table). Como: +3.2 (5). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Inter — Monza 4:1Parma — Cagliari 0:1Genoa — Napoli 0:2

All Serie A matches with xG →