Roma — Inter 2:2

Roma

2:2

Inter

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.28.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Roma	2	2.31	−0.3	1.26
Inter	2	2.59	−0.6	1.55

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
5'	Kouadio Kone	Roma	0.39	Nahuel Molina
36'	Kouadio Kone	Roma	0.54	Gianluca Mancini
45'	Lautaro Martínez	Inter	0.14	Marcus Thuram
78'	Lautaro Martínez	Inter	0.40

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
78'	Lautaro Martínez	Inter	0.67	hit the woodwork, header, from a corner
36'	Kouadio Kone	Roma	0.54	goal
28'	Lautaro Martínez	Inter	0.47	off target

Shots: Roma 18, Inter 16; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 5.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Roma 1.85, Inter 0.98: a clear edge for Roma. In the second half xG was Roma 0.47, Inter 2.19: a big edge for Inter. The edge in chances passed from Roma to Inter.

How it fits the season

Roma: +3.4 for the season (3 in the table). Inter: +2.0 (2). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Udinese — Cagliari 0:1Bologna — Torino 1:1Venezia — Lazio 0:2

All Serie A matches with xG →