Venezia — Lazio 0:2

Venezia

0:2

Lazio

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

Venezia created more (1.85 xG against 1.77) and left with nothing.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Venezia	0	1.85	−1.9	1.44
Lazio	2	1.77	+0.2	1.34

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
50'	Mattia Zaccagni (penalty)	Lazio	0.76
59'	Tijjani Noslin	Lazio	0.57	Nuno Tavares

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
59'	Tijjani Noslin	Lazio	0.57	goal, header
32'	Akor Adams	Venezia	0.30	saved
62'	Tijjani Noslin	Lazio	0.13	off target, header, from a set piece

Shots: Venezia 17, Lazio 12; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Venezia 1.32, Lazio 0.24: a clear edge for Venezia. In the second half xG was Venezia 0.54, Lazio 1.54: a clear edge for Lazio. The edge in chances passed from Venezia to Lazio. Venezia scored 0 from 1.85 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Venezia: −5.9 for the season (19 in the table). Lazio: +11.0 (1). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Udinese — Cagliari 0:1Bologna — Torino 1:1Roma — Inter 2:2

All Serie A matches with xG →