The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Fiorentina was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 2 | 1.03 | +1.0 | 0.40 |
| Fiorentina | 4 | 3.13 | +0.9 | 2.48 |
Venezia: −5.5 for the season (20 in the table). Fiorentina: −2.3 (17). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.