Venezia — Fiorentina 2:4
Venezia2:4
FiorentinaThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score2:4
Home xG1.03Venezia
Away xG3.13Fiorentina
Expected points0.40 : 2.48
Who deserved it
The score matched the game: Fiorentina was the better side by chances too.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 2 | 1.03 | +1.0 | 0.40 |
| Fiorentina | 4 | 3.13 | +0.9 | 2.48 |
Goals
| Minute | Goal | Team | Shot xG | Assist |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21' | Akor Adams | Venezia | 0.09 | Gianluca Busio |
| 28' | Franco Mastantuono | Fiorentina | 0.02 | Alejandro Jiménez |
| 29' | Franco Mastantuono | Fiorentina | 0.04 | Beto |
| 65' | Mateo Pellegrino | Fiorentina | 0.40 | Nicolo Fagioli |
| 83' | Franco Mastantuono | Fiorentina | 0.57 | |
| 85' | Antoine Hainaut | Venezia | 0.24 | Ridgeciano Haps |
Key chances
| Minute | Player | Team | xG | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83' | Franco Mastantuono | Fiorentina | 0.57 | goal, header |
| 7' | John Yeboah | Venezia | 0.42 | off target, header, from a set piece |
| 65' | Mateo Pellegrino | Fiorentina | 0.40 | goal |
Shots: Venezia 10, Fiorentina 19; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 1 and 4.
How the game went
In the first half xG was Venezia 0.52, Fiorentina 1.60: a clear edge for Fiorentina. In the second half xG was Venezia 0.51, Fiorentina 1.78: a clear edge for Fiorentina. The edge in chances lasted the whole match.
How it fits the season
Venezia: −5.9 for the season (19 in the table). Fiorentina: −5.4 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.