Venezia
Juventus
VeneziaJuventus · away, 22 Nov 2026
Win 8% · draw 17% · defeat 75%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 6 points from 11.9 xPTS (−5.9). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 15th in the league, but 19th in the table. Source of the shortfall: missed chances (−9.2 goals vs xG).
Attack. 1.57 xG per match — 13th of 20 (league average 1.70): an average attack for this league. Scored 8 goals from 17.2 xG — 54% fewer than expected — the worst finishing in the league. A drought this size is usually short-lived: with the same chance quality the goals tend to come back.
Defence. 2.13 xGA per match — 15th of 20 for solidity (league average 1.70): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 21 goals from 23.5 xGA — 10% fewer than expected. The gap is small, still within the usual spread.
Upside potential: HIGH. Performance is better than results by 0.53 points per match: expected pace 1.1 points per match vs the current 0.5.
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 0.55 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.22. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.1 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| away | 2026-11-22 | 8% | 17% | 75% | 0.42 | |
| home | 2026-11-27 | 27% | 21% | 52% | 1.03 | |
| home | 2026-12-06 | 57% | 19% | 24% | 1.90 | |
| away | 2026-12-13 | 36% | 22% | 42% | 1.30 | |
| home | 2026-12-20 | 42% | 22% | 37% | 1.47 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Venezia and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.