The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Barcelona | Real Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 4 |
| Points | 21 | 15 |
| xPTS | 18.4 | 16.5 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.6 | −1.5 |
| xG per match | 4.2 | 2.81 |
| xGA per match | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Scored | 31 | 18 |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 |
By quality of play Barcelona is ahead: 18.4 xPTS against 16.5. In the table the gap is 6 points. The gap between points and play — Barcelona: +2.6, Real Madrid: −1.5.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Barcelona — 12.2, Real Madrid — 10.6.