The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Celta Vigo | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 14 | 15 |
| Points | 7 | 7 |
| xPTS | 8.7 | 9.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.7 | −2.6 |
| xG per match | 1.09 | 1.35 |
| xGA per match | 1.31 | 1.46 |
| Scored | 8 | 10 |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
By quality of play they are level: 8.7 xPTS against 9.6. The gap between points and play — Celta Vigo: −1.7, Espanyol: −2.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Celta Vigo — 7.0, Espanyol — 6.7.