The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Getafe | Rayo Vallecano | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 11 | 12 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 6.7 | 7.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +1.3 | +0.3 |
| xG per match | 0.9 | 1.3 |
| xGA per match | 1.54 | 1.86 |
| Scored | 4 | 11 |
| Conceded | 7 | 16 |
By quality of play Rayo Vallecano is ahead: 7.7 xPTS against 6.7. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Getafe: +1.3, Rayo Vallecano: +0.3.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Getafe — 3.7, Rayo Vallecano — 6.5.