The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Osasuna | Celta Vigo | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 13 | 14 |
| Points | 8 | 7 |
| xPTS | 9.1 | 8.7 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −1.1 | −1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| xGA per match | 1.71 | 1.31 |
| Scored | 6 | 8 |
| Conceded | 13 | 6 |
By quality of play they are level: 9.1 xPTS against 8.7. The gap between points and play — Osasuna: −1.1, Celta Vigo: −1.7.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Osasuna — 5.9, Celta Vigo — 7.0.