The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Villarreal | Espanyol | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 10 | 11 |
| Points | 8 | 8 |
| xPTS | 13.9 | 11.6 |
| Δ points − xPTS | −5.9 | −3.6 |
| xG per match | 2.52 | 1.35 |
| xGA per match | 1.61 | 1.36 |
| Scored | 13 | 11 |
| Conceded | 13 | 11 |
By quality of play Villarreal is ahead: 13.9 xPTS against 11.6. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Villarreal: −5.9, Espanyol: −3.6.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Villarreal — 9.9, Espanyol — 6.0.