The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Lazio | Cagliari | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 3 | 4 |
| Points | 13 | 12 |
| xPTS | 8 | 5.8 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +5.0 | +6.2 |
| xG per match | 1.81 | 1.09 |
| xGA per match | 1.52 | 1.75 |
| Scored | 8 | 5 |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
By quality of play Lazio is ahead: 8.0 xPTS against 5.8. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — Lazio: +5.0, Cagliari: +6.2.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Lazio — 7.7, Cagliari — 2.7.