The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Roma | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 1 | 2 |
| Points | 13 | 13 |
| xPTS | 12.4 | 11.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +0.6 | +1.9 |
| xG per match | 3.22 | 3.11 |
| xGA per match | 1.11 | 1.49 |
| Scored | 14 | 15 |
| Conceded | 3 | 8 |
By quality of play Roma is ahead: 12.4 xPTS against 11.1. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Roma: +0.6, Inter: +1.9.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Roma — 12.0, Inter — 11.0.