The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| AC Milan | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 5 | 6 |
| Points | 11 | 10 |
| xPTS | 8.9 | 5.2 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +2.1 | +4.8 |
| xG per match | 1.94 | 1.62 |
| xGA per match | 1.18 | 2.2 |
| Scored | 10 | 9 |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
By quality of play AC Milan is ahead: 8.9 xPTS against 5.2. In the table the gap is 1 points. The gap between points and play — AC Milan: +2.1, Frosinone: +4.8.
Expected points over the coming rounds: AC Milan — 9.4, Frosinone — 7.6.