The table shows the result, xPTS shows the quality of play. Below both clubs sit side by side on every metric: where the gap is real and where luck made it.
| Frosinone | Juventus | |
|---|---|---|
| Place | 6 | 7 |
| Points | 10 | 10 |
| xPTS | 5.2 | 12.1 |
| Δ points − xPTS | +4.8 | −2.1 |
| xG per match | 1.62 | 1.85 |
| xGA per match | 2.2 | 0.42 |
| Scored | 9 | 8 |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 |
By quality of play Juventus is ahead: 12.1 xPTS against 5.2. In the table they are level. The gap between points and play — Frosinone: +4.8, Juventus: −2.1.
Expected points over the coming rounds: Frosinone — 7.6, Juventus — 12.1.