The list comes from two things: how much a player creates per 90 minutes (xG + xA) and how favourable his club's next match is. We know nothing about injuries or rotation — this is a hint, not a line-up.
Output per 90 minutes multiplied by the points his club is expected to take in the next match.
| Player | Club | Opponent | xG+xA per 90 | Club's chance | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raphinha | Barcelona | home to Getafe | 1.82 | 95% | 1.75 |
| Lamine Yamal | Barcelona | home to Getafe | 1.54 | 95% | 1.48 |
| Arda Güler | Real Madrid | home to Villarreal | 1.47 | 66% | 1.05 |
| Kylian Mbappe-Lottin | Real Madrid | home to Villarreal | 1.45 | 66% | 1.04 |
| Fermín López | Barcelona | home to Getafe | 0.96 | 95% | 0.92 |
| Anthony Gordon | Barcelona | home to Getafe | 0.87 | 95% | 0.83 |
| Vinícius Júnior | Real Madrid | home to Villarreal | 0.95 | 66% | 0.68 |
| Rodri | Barcelona | home to Getafe | 0.59 | 95% | 0.57 |
| Marc Bernal | Barcelona | home to Getafe | 0.56 | 95% | 0.54 |
| Jude Bellingham | Real Madrid | home to Villarreal | 0.74 | 66% | 0.53 |
| Yassir Zabiri | Racing Santander | home to Valencia | 0.78 | 55% | 0.49 |
| Iván Romero | Levante | home to Sevilla | 0.84 | 45% | 0.45 |
Scoring more than their chances are worth. Finishing like that rarely holds: they cost a lot and the return can drop.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergio Camello | Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2.83 | +4.2 |
| Raphinha | Barcelona | 12 | 9.06 | +2.9 |
| Yassir Zabiri | Racing Santander | 6 | 3.27 | +2.7 |
| Álex Baena | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 1.40 | +2.6 |
| Lucas Boyé | Alavés | 4 | 1.69 | +2.3 |
| Fernando Niño | Elche | 5 | 2.77 | +2.2 |
The chances are there, the goals are not. If the chance quality holds, the goals come back — and they are cheap now.
| Player | Club | Goals | xG | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayoze Pérez | Villarreal | 1 | 4.38 | −3.4 |
| Antony | Real Betis | 0 | 2.80 | −2.8 |
| Vinícius Júnior | Real Madrid | 1 | 3.57 | −2.6 |
| Anthony Gordon | Barcelona | 0 | 2.36 | −2.4 |
| Antonio Martínez | Alavés | 0 | 2.07 | −2.1 |
| Georges Mikautadze | Villarreal | 2 | 3.95 | −1.9 |
Understat data, refreshed twice a day. We do not give betting tips and we do not know about injuries or suspensions — check the line-ups.