The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Bayer Leverkusen was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 2.55 | −0.5 | 2.33 |
| RB Leipzig | 0 | 0.93 | −0.9 | 0.51 |
Bayer Leverkusen: −2.6 for the season (5 in the table). RB Leipzig: −1.8 (9). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.