The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.47.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | 0 | 1.27 | −1.3 | 1.72 |
| Elversberg | 0 | 0.80 | −0.8 | 0.99 |
Schalke 04: +0.7 for the season (11 in the table). Elversberg: +3.6 (7). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.