Points. 6 points from 7.3 xPTS (−1.4). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 2nd in the league, but 5th in the table. A small shortfall, still within the margin of error. Source: how goals are spread across matches: goal difference +6 almost matches the expected +5.2, so points are slipping away in close games.
Attack. 2.60 xG per match — 4th of 18 (league average 1.98): one of the most dangerous attacks in the league. Scored 9 goals from 7.8 xG — finishing is on par.
Defence. 0.87 xGA per match — 4th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.98). Conceded 3 goals from 2.6 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed.
Playing to its level. Points (6) are close to the quality of play (7.3 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 2.00 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.99. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 10.0 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen | away | 2026-09-20 | 1.12 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | home | 2026-10-10 | 2.49 |
| Bayern Munich | away | 2026-10-17 | 0.85 |
| Elversberg | home | 2026-10-24 | 2.82 |
| Schalke 04 | away | 2026-10-31 | 2.69 |