The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Eintracht Frankfurt are favourites: 59% to win against 19%. Attack against defence: Eintracht Frankfurt should create more, 2.06 expected goals a match against 1.50.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paderborn | 12 | 4 | 4 | 2.9 | +1.1 | 0.77 | 1.89 |
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 10 | 4 | 5 | 5.5 | −0.5 | 2.22 | 2.23 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.
All Bundesliga matches with xG → · Full Bundesliga xPTS table →