Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt
HoffenheimHoffenheim · at home, 21 Nov 2026
Win 35% · draw 20% · defeat 45%
The next three opponents by the club's own chances. A mixed run.
Points. 12 points from 11.1 xPTS (+0.9). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 11th in the league, but 10th in the table. Points match the quality of play. Inside that balance finishing falls short (−1.9 vs xG), but fewer goals conceded than expected (−0.1 vs xGA) — one cancels the other.
Attack. 1.88 xG per match — 8th of 18 (league average 1.85): an average attack for this league. Scored 15 goals from 16.9 xG — 12% fewer than expected. A small finishing shortfall, still within the usual spread.
Defence. 2.23 xGA per match — 13th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.85): allows plenty of chances near its own goal. Conceded 20 goals from 20.1 xGA — exactly in line with the chances allowed. What they allow is what they concede.
Playing to its level. Points (12) are close to the quality of play (11.1 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.33 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.15. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 5.7 points. Outcome chances and expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment: a fixture is worth 3 points for a win and 1 for a draw.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Win | Draw | Defeat | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| home | 2026-11-21 | 35% | 20% | 45% | 1.24 | |
| away | 2026-11-28 | 30% | 18% | 53% | 1.07 | |
| home | 2026-12-05 | 40% | 22% | 37% | 1.44 | |
| away | 2026-12-12 | 36% | 19% | 44% | 1.28 | |
| away | 2026-12-19 | 18% | 16% | 66% | 0.70 |
Follow this club: send the bot the command /follow Eintracht Frankfurt and it will write when results and performance diverge.
Every match: played with the score, ahead with the date. Click for the breakdown.
| Place | Club | P | Points | xPTS | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | 12 | 11.1 | +0.9 | |
| 9 | 9 | 12 | 14.3 | −2.3 | |
| 10 | 9 | 12 | 11.1 | +0.9 | |
| 11 | 9 | 12 | 8.1 | +3.9 | |
| 12 | 9 | 10 | 14.8 | −4.8 |