Points. 4 points from 4.7 xPTS (−0.7). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 7th in the league, but 9th in the table. Points match the quality of play.
Attack. 2.26 xG per match — 8th of 18 (league average 1.98): an average attack for this league. Scored 7 goals from 6.8 xG — finishing is on par.
Defence. 1.99 xGA per match — 9th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.98). Conceded 8 goals from 6.0 xGA — 2.0 more than expected: opponents are scoring almost everything and the goalkeeper is not helping. By chances allowed the defence is league-average — some of these goals come down to bad luck and should drop.
Playing to its level. Points (4) are close to the quality of play (4.7 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 1.33 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 1.27. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 6.4 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg | home | 2026-09-19 | 0.78 |
| RB Leipzig | away | 2026-10-10 | 0.38 |
| 1. FC Köln | home | 2026-10-17 | 1.83 |
| Borussia Dortmund | away | 2026-10-24 | 0.71 |
| Hamburger SV | home | 2026-10-31 | 2.67 |