VfB Stuttgart — Werder Bremen 1:0
VfB Stuttgart1:0
Werder BremenThe score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Score1:0
Home xG0.72VfB Stuttgart
Away xG1.26Werder Bremen
Expected points0.93 : 1.77
Who deserved it
Werder Bremen created more (1.26 xG against 0.72) and left with nothing.
The numbers
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart | 1 | 0.72 | +0.3 | 0.93 |
| Werder Bremen | 0 | 1.26 | −1.3 | 1.77 |
How it fits the season
VfB Stuttgart: +0.9 for the season (8 in the table). Werder Bremen: +2.6 (6). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.
Paderborn — 
Eintracht Frankfurt 2:2
RB Leipzig — 
Augsburg 5:2
Mainz 05 — 
Bayern Munich 1:2
Borussia Dortmund — 
Elversberg 2:1