Points. 1 point from 1.8 xPTS (−0.8). By quality of play (xPTS) it ranks 16th in the league, but 15th in the table. Points match the quality of play.
Attack. 0.58 xG per match — 18th of 18 (league average 1.98): the attack creates less than most rivals. Only 0 goals scored from 1.7 xG (−1.7): the chances are there, the finishing is not. If the chance quality holds, the goals will come.
Defence. 1.96 xGA per match — 8th of 18 for solidity (league average 1.98). Conceded 4 goals from 5.9 xGA — 1.9 fewer than expected: the goalkeeper is bailing them out or opponents are missing. By chances allowed the defence is league-average — once luck evens out, more goals will go in.
Playing to its level. Points (1) are close to the quality of play (1.8 xPTS).
The solid line is points won, the dashed line is expected points (xPTS). The gap shows how far results run ahead of performance, or behind it.
Current pace is 0.33 points per match, the pace expected from the next opponents is 0.88. Over the next 5 rounds the model gives 4.4 points. Expected points come from the opponent's attack and defence with a home advantage adjustment.
| Opponent | Venue | Date | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim | home | 2026-09-20 | 0.58 |
| VfB Stuttgart | home | 2026-10-10 | 0.73 |
| Werder Bremen | away | 2026-10-17 | 0.82 |
| Hamburger SV | home | 2026-10-24 | 1.51 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | away | 2026-10-31 | 0.78 |