Bournemouth — Sunderland 2:0

Bournemouth

2:0

Sunderland

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Bournemouth was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Bournemouth	2	4.39	−2.4	2.96
Sunderland	0	0.09	−0.1	0.02

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
5'	Marcus Tavernier	Bournemouth	0.34	Evanilson
47'	Evanilson	Bournemouth	0.63

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
47'	Evanilson	Bournemouth	0.63	goal
31'	Adam Smith	Bournemouth	0.50	off target
60'	Marcus Tavernier	Bournemouth	0.42	saved

Shots: Bournemouth 29, Sunderland 3; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 6 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Bournemouth 1.93, Sunderland 0.04: a big edge for Bournemouth. In the second half xG was Bournemouth 2.49, Sunderland 0.05: a big edge for Bournemouth. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Bournemouth scored 2 from 4.39 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Bournemouth: −3.6 for the season (7 in the table). Sunderland: −6.2 (19). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Brighton — Crystal Palace 5:0Leeds United — Manchester United 1:1Nottingham Forest — Arsenal 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →