Leeds United — Manchester United 1:1

Leeds United

1:1

Manchester United

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A fair draw: the xG gap is only 0.33.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Leeds United	1	1.41	−0.4	1.60
Manchester United	1	1.08	−0.1	1.13

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
34'	Bryan Mbeumo	Manchester United	0.41	Youri Tielemans
50'	Dominic Calvert-Lewin	Leeds United	0.56	Tarik Muharemovic

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
50'	Dominic Calvert-Lewin	Leeds United	0.56	goal, from a corner
34'	Bryan Mbeumo	Manchester United	0.41	goal
25'	Nico Elvedi	Leeds United	0.34	saved, header, from a set piece

Shots: Leeds United 12, Manchester United 13; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 2 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Leeds United 0.45, Manchester United 0.77: a small edge for Manchester United. In the second half xG was Leeds United 0.97, Manchester United 0.29: a small edge for Leeds United. The edge in chances passed from Manchester United to Leeds United.

How it fits the season

Leeds United: +0.1 for the season (9 in the table). Manchester United: −4.5 (18). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Brighton — Crystal Palace 5:0Bournemouth — Sunderland 2:0Nottingham Forest — Arsenal 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →