The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
Brighton are favourites: 76% to win against 11%. Attack against defence: Brighton should create more, 2.29 expected goals a match against 1.62.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton | 3 | 5 | 10 | 9.2 | +0.8 | 2.58 | 1.73 |
| Crystal Palace | 15 | 5 | 4 | 5.4 | −1.4 | 1.52 | 2.00 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.