Brighton — Crystal Palace 5:0

Brighton

5:0

Crystal Palace

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Brighton was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Brighton	5	2.25	+2.8	2.40
Crystal Palace	0	0.63	−0.6	0.43

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
3'	Jaydee Canvot (own goal)	Brighton	—
6'	Diego Gómez	Brighton	0.02	Olivier Boscagli
9'	Yasin Ayari	Brighton	0.12	Charalampos Kostoulas
48'	Charalampos Kostoulas	Brighton	0.62
83'	Jack Hinshelwood	Brighton	0.78

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
83'	Jack Hinshelwood	Brighton	0.78	goal, from a corner
48'	Charalampos Kostoulas	Brighton	0.62	goal
62'	Jean-Philippe Mateta	Crystal Palace	0.40	hit the woodwork

Shots: Brighton 17, Crystal Palace 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 3 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Brighton 0.50, Crystal Palace 0.10: a small edge for Brighton. In the second half xG was Brighton 2.08, Crystal Palace 0.53: a big edge for Brighton. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Brighton scored 5 from 2.25 xG: well above what they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Brighton: +3.8 for the season (2 in the table). Crystal Palace: −2.5 (20). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Bournemouth — Sunderland 2:0Leeds United — Manchester United 1:1Nottingham Forest — Arsenal 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →