Brentford — Liverpool 1:2

Brentford

1:2

Liverpool

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Liverpool was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Brentford	1	0.86	+0.1	0.88
Liverpool	2	1.55	+0.4	1.86

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
43'	Keane Lewis-Potter	Brentford	0.26	Thiago
61'	Víctor Muñoz	Liverpool	0.18	Florian Wirtz
69'	Alexander Isak	Liverpool	0.13	Bradley Barcola

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
19'	Bradley Barcola	Liverpool	0.46	off target
43'	Keane Lewis-Potter	Brentford	0.26	goal, header
61'	Víctor Muñoz	Liverpool	0.18	goal

Shots: Brentford 10, Liverpool 21; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 1.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Brentford 0.60, Liverpool 0.67: about even. In the second half xG was Brentford 0.26, Liverpool 0.85: a small edge for Liverpool.

How it fits the season

Brentford: +0.9 for the season (8 in the table). Liverpool: +3.1 (4). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Everton — Chelsea 0:2Fulham — Hull City 1:0Manchester City — Ipswich Town 3:2Newcastle United — Aston Villa 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →