Pitch Radar

Fulham vs Hull City: what the numbers say

EPL · Round 7 · 17 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.

Home win44%Fulham
Draw25%
Away win32%Hull City
Expected points, home1.56

What to expect

A slight edge to Fulham: 44% against 32%. Attack against defence: level, 1.52 and 1.62 expected goals a match. Fulham are 3.1 points short of what their play deserved — more dangerous than the table suggests.

How they arrive

ClubPlacePPointsxPTSΔxG/matchxGA/match
Fulham19525.1−3.11.592.09
Hull City8585.5+2.51.151.44

Recent matches

Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.

All EPL matches with xG → · Full EPL xPTS table →