Fulham — Hull City 1:0

Fulham

1:0

Hull City

EPL · 17 Oct 2026 · season 2026/27

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Score1:0

Home xG2.27Fulham

Away xG0.13Hull City

Expected points2.72 : 0.16

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Fulham was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Fulham	1	2.27	−1.3	2.72
Hull City	0	0.13	−0.1	0.16

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
32'	Alex Iwobi	Fulham	0.06	Sander Berge

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
73'	Gonzalo García	Fulham	0.54	hit the woodwork, header
57'	Alex Iwobi	Fulham	0.37	saved
52'	Joshua King	Fulham	0.35	saved

Shots: Fulham 18, Hull City 5; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 4 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Fulham 0.87, Hull City 0.05: a clear edge for Fulham. In the second half xG was Fulham 1.47, Hull City 0.07: a clear edge for Fulham. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Fulham scored 1 from 2.27 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

Shot data: Understat. xG rates the quality of a chance; it is not a forecast of the result.