Brentford — Tottenham Hotspur 3:0

Brentford

3:0

Tottenham Hotspur

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

The score matched the game: Brentford was the better side by chances too.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Brentford	3	4.04	−1.0	2.78
Tottenham Hotspur	0	0.76	−0.8	0.15

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
11'	Keane Lewis-Potter	Brentford	0.54	Mamadou Sangaré
32'	Vitaly Janelt	Brentford	0.44
48'	Michael Kayode	Brentford	0.67

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
48'	Michael Kayode	Brentford	0.67	goal, from a corner
11'	Keane Lewis-Potter	Brentford	0.54	goal
3'	Nathan Collins	Brentford	0.49	off target, header, from a corner

Shots: Brentford 26, Tottenham Hotspur 9; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 5 and 0.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Brentford 1.78, Tottenham Hotspur 0.08: a big edge for Brentford. In the second half xG was Brentford 2.31, Tottenham Hotspur 0.69: a big edge for Brentford. The edge in chances lasted the whole match. Brentford scored 3 from 4.04 xG: fewer than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Brentford: +0.9 for the season (8 in the table). Tottenham Hotspur: −2.3 (11). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Hull City — Manchester United 2:0Everton — Crystal Palace 2:0Ipswich Town — Sunderland 2:1Nottingham Forest — Leeds United 0:1

All EPL matches with xG →