The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Crystal Palace created more (2.23 xG against 1.45) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | 2 | 1.45 | +0.6 | 0.94 |
| Crystal Palace | 0 | 2.23 | −2.2 | 1.86 |
Everton: +1.4 for the season (7 in the table). Crystal Palace: −1.4 (15). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.