The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
Manchester United created more (1.78 xG against 1.50) and left with nothing.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 2 | 1.50 | +0.5 | 1.21 |
| Manchester United | 0 | 1.78 | −1.8 | 1.56 |
Hull City: +2.5 for the season (8 in the table). Manchester United: −3.4 (12). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.