The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.
The score matched the game: Ipswich Town was the better side by chances too.
| Team | Goals | xG | Goals − xG | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipswich Town | 2 | 1.58 | +0.4 | 1.65 |
| Sunderland | 1 | 1.18 | −0.2 | 1.10 |
Ipswich Town: +0.3 for the season (11 in the table). Sunderland: −3.7 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.