Hull City — Ipswich Town 2:2

Hull City

2:2

Ipswich Town

The score says how it ended. xG says how it should have ended: it is the sum of the chances each shot was worth, not an opinion about the game.

Who deserved it

A draw, but Ipswich Town created more (1.66 xG against 0.61) — points dropped.

The numbers

Team	Goals	xG	Goals − xG	Expected points
Hull City	2	0.61	+1.4	0.64
Ipswich Town	2	1.66	+0.3	2.13

Goals

Minute	Goal	Team	Shot xG	Assist
21'	Florentino Luís	Ipswich Town	0.32	Guemissongui Ouattara
57'	Tim Iroegbunam	Hull City	0.20	Oliver McBurnie
67'	Oliver McBurnie	Hull City	0.17
73'	Julio Enciso	Ipswich Town	0.05	Azor Matusiwa

Key chances

Minute	Player	Team	xG	Outcome
34'	Abdul Fatawu	Ipswich Town	0.60	off target, header
21'	Florentino Luís	Ipswich Town	0.32	goal
57'	Tim Iroegbunam	Hull City	0.20	goal

Shots: Hull City 9, Ipswich Town 15; big chances (xG 0.3 and above): 0 and 2.

How the game went

In the first half xG was Hull City 0.10, Ipswich Town 1.00: a clear edge for Ipswich Town. In the second half xG was Hull City 0.51, Ipswich Town 0.67: about even. Hull City scored 2 from 0.61 xG: more than they created. As a rule, finishing like this evens out over time.

How it fits the season

Hull City: +2.0 for the season (13 in the table). Ipswich Town: +0.8 (14). The gap between points and xPTS is built from matches like this one.

Other matches of the round

Chelsea — Manchester United 2:0Coventry City — Sunderland 3:1Manchester City — Brighton 0:1Bournemouth — Leeds United 2:0Brentford — Nottingham Forest 2:0Tottenham Hotspur — Crystal Palace 2:0Aston Villa — Fulham 1:1

All EPL matches with xG →