The match has not been played. This is not a tip: the model turns the chances both sides create and concede into probabilities, and it is wrong regularly.
A slight edge to Hull City: 49% against 26%. Attack against defence: Hull City should create more, 1.60 expected goals a match against 1.43. Read the table with care: Hull City have taken 2.5 points more than their play deserved, so their position flatters them.
| Club | Place | P | Points | xPTS | Δ | xG/match | xGA/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 8 | 5 | 8 | 5.5 | +2.5 | 1.15 | 1.44 |
| Ipswich Town | 11 | 5 | 6 | 5.7 | +0.3 | 1.42 | 2.06 |
Probabilities come from a Poisson model over both sides' xG with a home advantage applied. We know nothing about injuries, suspensions or rotation, and we do not give betting tips.